tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32534894.post3927421970565717031..comments2023-12-03T04:31:58.288-05:00Comments on Walberg Watch: Another Internal: Walberg 50, Schauer 40Fitzyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10416823898560265455noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32534894.post-37083354187327119682008-09-27T13:42:00.000-04:002008-09-27T13:42:00.000-04:00Well, no. As I've said before, it's not in the pol...Well, no. As I've said before, it's not in the polling firm's interests to give rigged data. That's just plain stupid, and Democrats, believe it or not, aren't stupid. Bad data does nothing for a campaign except get a couple of good newspaper articles no one reads. Good data lets a campaign know if their strategy is working. If Myers has been supplying bad information, then he'll soon find himself with fewer clients.<BR/><BR/>Likely voter models and geographic distributions are probably what account for the differences, plus just random chance. Statistically speaking, both of these polls are plausible. And even if they're wrong, that just means they're the 1 in 20 that are naturally wrong. That's how statistics works.<BR/><BR/>Neither poll said anything about reading "background" information, so I'm inclined to take them at their word that they just asked a straight Walberg-Schauer matchup question. The EPIC-MRA polls <I>do</I> provide biographies, but those are provided after the first matchup question, and the results post-biographies are reported separately.<BR/><BR/>I'm trying to be reasonable here. I think both polls probably have some merit, though I'd appreciate it if the campaigns would be a little more transparent and provide more data. But both Democratic and Republican firms can provide real data, and often do. Any campaign paying for fake data is really wasting its money.Fitzyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10416823898560265455noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32534894.post-27574697866121938152008-09-27T12:49:00.000-04:002008-09-27T12:49:00.000-04:00The Walberg poll was conducted by a respected inde...The Walberg poll was conducted by a respected independent firm, which I would put a little more faith in then the left-wing propoganda organization that conducted Schauer's push poll. When a polling firms claims it exists to elect Democrats and advance liberal ideas it ceases to be reputable. Walberg's firm may work with Republicans but they also work with Fortune 500 companies and seem to provide a scientific poll. No telling what kind of "background" the Myers pollsters read to participants to get the results they were looking for.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com