Thursday, September 25, 2008
Poll: Schauer 42, Walberg 36
UPDATE: Sorry for the delay. The poll was conducted by Myers Research & Strategic Services, who are the same ones that conducted the Schauer internal poll from May that was released a month or two ago. They're a Democratic firm, but that isn't necessarily a reason to doubt the numbers. More on that later.
The poll was conducted September 24 and 25, 2008 (CORRECTION: September 23 and 24), with a sample size of 500 "likely voters," and the respondents were "stratified geographically"-- in other words, this wasn't all Battle Creek. The margin of error is +/- 4.38 percent, with a 95 percent confidence level.
Here are the results released today (previous results in parentheses, MoE +/- 4.00):
Mark Schauer vs. Tim Walberg
Mark Schauer vs. Tim Walberg (Plus Undecideds, allocated based on stated partisan leanings)
Myers also asks respondents to rate candidates on a "personal feeling thermometer," where 100 is very warm and 0 is very cold, with 50 neutral.
Personal Feeling Thermometer
Walberg Job Performance
Myers also says that "seven in ten" respondents believe the country is on the wrong track, which is where it was in their May poll, as well.
I've got a lot of thoughts on this poll, which I'll be compiling this afternoon. I'll have more later today.
The Schauer campaign just released a poll-- Schauer 42, Walberg 36. More information and thoughts to come soon.
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